Biggest mispricing right now
CPI core in July — Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in July? — Above 0.2%
Macro$2k 24h vol
Polymarket bettors price this 24.1pp higher than Kalshi bettors do.
K
P
0%50%100%
Kalshi 30¢ Polymarket 54¢
+24.1pp
Kalshi cheaper
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Gianni Infantino out as President of FIFA in 2026 — Will Gianni Infantino leave from being President of FIFA in 2026? — Yes
K
P
0%50%100%
45¢ / 27¢
-18.0pp
PM cheaper
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K
P
0%50%100%
16¢ / 33¢
+16.0pp
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K
P
0%50%100%
57¢ / 51¢
-6.5pp
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0%50%100%
8¢ / 4¢
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Macro
CPI core in July — Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in July? — Above 0.3%
K
P
0%50%100%
12¢ / 15¢
+3.6pp
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K
P
0%50%100%
13¢ / 9¢
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By category
551 markets across 9 categories
Sports · 68
See all 68 →- Core inflation in July 2026 (Core CPI YoY) — Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in July 2026?55¢ / 28¢-27.5pp
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- Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals Winner — Will Javokhir Sindarov win the Grand Chess Tour 2026 Finals?16¢ / 33¢+16.0pp
Politics / 2028 · 39
See all 39 →- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?6¢ / 3¢-3.2pp
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- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?5¢ / 2¢-2.4pp
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See all 8 →- #1 searched person on Google in 2026 — Will Bad Bunny be the #1 rank on Google’s Year in Search 2026 Global – People?17¢ / 13¢-4.0pp
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Macro · 5
See all 5 →- CPI core in July — Will CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in July? — Above 0.2%30¢ / 54¢+24.1pp
- CPI core in July — Will CPI Core rise more than 0.3% in July? — Above 0.3%12¢ / 15¢+3.6pp
- CPI core in July — Will CPI Core rise more than 0.6% in July? — Above 0.6%3¢ / 0¢-2.6pp
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